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Entries in Niall Ferguson. (1)

Monday
May312010

In debtedness

This important video lecture from Niall Ferguson on the Metrics of Doom shows how the UK will need to be using around 20% of GDP to service debt interest by 2040 - with the US doing the same. Our position is worse than that of Greece, Spain or Portugal.

Excessive debt:revenue or debt:export are both causes of the problem, but absolute levels of interest payments in relation to tax revenue are perhaps a better measure. The US has shifted from 7% to around 25% - it forces 'impossibly difficult' decisions about which debtors will be sacrificed to pay for the trouble we're in.

thanks to Gary Loch for the heads up on this one.